Experts believe that once social distancing restrictions are eased, there will be a rise in coronavirus cases. Erie County’s health commissioner, Gale R. Burstein, MD
, clinical professor of pediatrics
, says that while Erie County uses models to anticipate the trajectory of the coronavirus pandemic curve, hospitals do too. “That’s why they’ve all increased their capacity to handle more patients,” Burstein explains. “They also designed what they call the sub-acute care facilities.” Peter Winkelstein, MD
, clinical professor of pediatrics and executive director of the Institute for Healthcare Informatics
, says the local models change, at most, once per week. “A good rule of thumb is that all models are uncertain and the further out you go, the less certain they become,” Winkelstein notes.